Council Post: Investing In Private Credit: Balancing Yield And Risk (2024)

Gianluca Sidoti is an Independent Financial Advisor, Founder of TraDetector and Managing Partner at Citadines Capital SCF.

As the calendar turns to 2024, the financial environment underscores the growing prominence of the private credit sector, a niche drawing significant interest for its alternative investment potential. This sector's attraction is underscored by the possibility of outpacing traditional investment returns, though it is not without its challenges. To navigate these waters effectively, investors must arm themselves with a strategy that marries deep analytical insight with forward-looking judgment.

Navigating The Private Credit Market

The surge in private credit, defined by lending to companies often bypassed by conventional banks, signals a burgeoning area within the alternative investment sphere. This market's expansion is fueled by investors' quest for higher returns amid prevailing low interest rates. While the prospects of enhanced yields are appealing, they come with the caveat of heightened risks, notably from lower borrower creditworthiness and investment illiquidity.

Drawing from experience, advising a client to delve into direct lending within the tech sector proved advantageous. This move not only diversified their portfolio but also tapped into the sector's robust growth potential, demonstrating resilience even in fluctuating economic climates. Such strategic positioning underscores the importance of sector selection in private credit investments.

Mitigating Risks In The Private Credit Market

The allure of private credit is tempered by inherent risks, including credit, liquidity and market uncertainties. Loans in this sector are typically extended to entities beyond the purview of public debt markets, inherently carrying higher credit risks. The characteristic illiquidity of these investments further compounds their risk profile, necessitating strategic navigation.

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In advising a high net worth individual on mitigating these risks, a diversified fund approach was recommended. This strategy effectively spreads the risk across various sectors and borrowers, significantly reducing the potential impact of any single borrower default. Emphasizing senior secured loans within this diversified strategy further safeguarded against capital loss, demonstrating the critical role of risk management in private credit investment.

Exploring Opportunities In 2024

The evolving economic recovery landscape presents distinct opportunities within the private credit market, especially in sectors characterized by innovation and resilience, such as renewable energy and digital infrastructure. These areas offer fertile ground for lending opportunities, buoyed by their growth potential and resilience.

Guiding a family office to focus on renewable energy investments in the private credit space not only diversified their portfolio but also aligned with their ethical investment objectives. This strategic alignment not only capitalized on the sector's growth prospects but also underscored the dual benefit of financial returns coupled with positive environmental impact, illustrating the value of sector-specific insights in investment strategy.

Strategic Approaches For Market Navigation

Success in private credit investment hinges on meticulous due diligence, encompassing borrower credit assessment, loan terms analysis and collateral evaluation. A keen understanding of market dynamics and economic indicators is paramount as these factors greatly influence investment outcomes in the private credit domain.

Collaborating with a consortium of investors, a combined approach of direct lending and private credit funds was developed. This strategy broadened exposure to a diverse array of borrowers while leveraging the expertise of specialized fund managers. Regular strategy reviews ensured the investment remained aligned with market developments and investor risk profiles, emphasizing the importance of adaptability in investment strategy.

Leveraging Technology And Data Analysis

The integration of technology and data analytics into private credit investing is revolutionizing the sector. Advanced analytics, AI and machine learning tools enhance the precision of credit assessments and portfolio management, fostering informed decision-making.

For a tech-forward client, integrating AI-powered credit analysis tools into their investment strategy can improve risk assessment and uncovered high-potential opportunities. This tech-enhanced approach can lead to a more dynamic and informed investment strategy, showcasing the transformative impact of technology in investment management.

Adapting To Regulatory Changes

The dynamic regulatory landscape of the private credit market necessitates a vigilant and informed approach. Keeping abreast of regulatory developments is crucial for maintaining compliance and optimizing investment strategies within this evolving framework.

When new lending regulations were introduced, advising a client to adjust their investment approach ensured compliance without compromising return objectives. This adaptability underscored the necessity of flexibility in navigating the regulatory environment of private credit investing.

Embracing Long-Term Perspectives And Sustainability

The commitment to private credit investing is inherently long-term, and ill-suited for those seeking quick gains. The increasing emphasis on sustainability within this investment domain highlights the importance of incorporating environmental, social and governance (ESG) considerations into investment decisions.

Advising a client to prioritize sustainable private credit investments facilitated alignment with their long-term environmental and societal goals. This approach not only promised potential long-term benefits but also contributed to achieving broader ESG objectives, illustrating the growing significance of sustainable investing within the private credit sector.

Conclusion

The private credit market in 2024 could offer a landscape rich with opportunities for those prepared to engage deeply with its intricacies. A successful investment strategy, informed by thorough analysis, risk management and a commitment to sustainability, is paramount. Drawing on direct experience with clients, the value of strategic advisem*nt in navigating this complex market cannot be overstated, paving the way for achieving both financial returns and meaningful impact.

The information provided here is not investment, tax or financial advice. You should consult with a licensed professional for advice concerning your specific situation.

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Council Post: Investing In Private Credit: Balancing Yield And Risk (2024)

FAQs

Why is private credit booming and banks are fighting back? ›

One worry for banks was that private credit—meaning, in this context, lending directly to businesses by alternative-asset fund managers, insurers and others—was going to eat into investment banks' business originating loans and distributing them to investors.

Is private credit a systemic risk? ›

Today, immediate financial stability risks from private credit appear to be limited. However, given that this ecosystem is opaque and highly interconnected, and if fast growth continues with limited oversight, existing vulnerabilities could become a systemic risk for the broader financial system.

How much money is in private credit? ›

Private credit is non-bank lending to mostly private-equity-owned, middle-market companies that aren't publicly traded or issued. It is one of the fastest-growing segments in the lending landscape, with close to $1.7 trillion in assets under management, of which $500 billion is capital waiting to be deployed.

What is the default rate in private credit? ›

The default rate was 2.3% in 2023 based on issuer count. (KBRA does not track data prior to 2023.) A key takeaway is that the default rate is dependent on how inclusive the default set is.

What are the risks of private credit? ›

The rapid growth of private credit, coupled with increasing competition from banks on large deals and pressure to deploy capital, may lead to a deterioration in pricing and nonpricing terms, including lower underwriting standards and weakened covenants, raising the risk of credit losses in the future.

How to answer why private credit? ›

The short answer: It's a solution to volatility, providing capital preservation and stable returns.

What are the 3 types of credit risk? ›

Lenders must consider several key types of credit risk during loan origination:
  • Fraud risk.
  • Default risk.
  • Credit spread risk.
  • Concentration risk.
Oct 17, 2023

Why is private credit so hot? ›

A confluence of factors: Why private-credit investing has become so attractive. As elevated interest rates and tighter lending standards have made capital more difficult to obtain from traditional debt markets, private credit is creating solutions for borrowers — and opportunities for investors.

How sensitive is private investment to risk? ›

Private investments involve a number of risks, including illiquidity, lower transparency and less regulatory oversight than is found in public securities. They are also frequently early-stage or involve untested business models and management teams.

Is private credit the same as debt? ›

Private credit or private debt investments are debt-like, non-publicly traded instruments provided by non-bank entities, such as private credit funds or business development companies (BDCs), to fund private businesses.

Is there a difference between private debt and private credit? ›

You will sometimes see private debt and private credit used interchangeably. However, an important distinction is that private credit is just one type of private debt. At PitchBook, we define private credit, or direct lending, as directly originated loans to corporate borrowers that are not broadly syndicated.

Why invest in private credit now? ›

Getting involved in private credit is also a way for investors to diversify their holdings and protect against price swings in public markets. It also gives them exposure to more companies than those available in the public markets.

Who issues private credit? ›

Private credit (also known as direct lending) is generally defined as lending by non-bank financial institutions—including private equity firms and alternative asset managers—most often to small and mid-sized businesses, who are often highly leveraged and generally cannot borrow in corporate bond markets.

What is dry powder in private credit? ›

Note: 'Dry Powder' refers to committed but not invested capital. Invested capital is committed & invested capital (typically in the form of loans). Assets under management is the sum of invested capital and dry powder. Data as of June 2023.

What is a fair interest rate for a private loan? ›

Average online personal loan rates
Borrower credit ratingScore rangeEstimated APR
Excellent720-850.12.37%.
Good690-719.14.87%.
Fair630-689.18.40%.
Bad300-629.21.93%.
May 14, 2024

Why is private credit so popular right now? ›

Filling the Liquidity Gap

Over the years, as traditional lenders moved to the margins of PE-backed deals, the once specialised area of private credit has risen to new heights alongside private equity, with some private equity firms opting against traditional banks and increasingly borrowing from each other.

Should we worry about private credit? ›

Private credit securities may be illiquid, present significant risks, and may be sold or redeemed at more or less than the original amount invested. There may be a heightened risk that private credit issuers and counterparties will not make payments on securities, repurchase agreements or other investments.

What caused the credit crisis? ›

The catalysts for the GFC were falling US house prices and a rising number of borrowers unable to repay their loans. House prices in the United States peaked around mid 2006, coinciding with a rapidly rising supply of newly built houses in some areas.

Is private credit here to stay? ›

Private credit has earned a permanent place in investors' portfolios, according to KKR's co-head of credit and markets Christopher Sheldon.

References

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